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Diplomacy in a Digitally Infused World

Evan KrausEvan Kraus is executive director of digital strategy at APCO Online®, a service group that delivers powerful, results-focused online communication strategies for APCO Worldwide’s clients around the world. This post originally appeared in the Diplomatic Courier.

Walk the streets of any big city today, anywhere in the world, and it is impossible to miss the impact of digital communication technology on nearly every aspect of our daily lives. It impacts the way we communicate, socialize, travel, are entertained, buy products and services, and even find our life partners. But, what about diplomacy, that famously nuanced, human talent that is so deeply rooted in a face-to-face, personal connection? How has digital changed the diplomacy

To understand the imprint digital has made on diplomacy, we first need to understand the psychology of digital natives. It is a human nature to try and make a difference in the world around us; to seek something more. Media, particularly digital media, offers a level of transparency and direct access that gives political activists, thought leaders and influencers the ability to force political change. Just as social media has removed the power of traditional reporters to serve as the primary connectors between news-making principals and the public, it has also diminished the power of traditional political gatekeepers.

NGOs and activist groups were the first movers in harnessing this power to impact political change. Underfunded and outmanned by corporations and their agents, these groups took to the digital streets to create political movements and, in many cases, were able to enact real change.

Inspired by these examples and their own experiences, individual citizens realized they could create their own movements. Whether it be a customer like Molly Katchpole, who used Change.org and a passionate letter to convince a major U.S. bank to withdraw a debit card fee; a citizen like Mohamed Bouazizi, the Tunisian street vendor whose shocking act of self-immolation captured on YouTube sparked the Arab Spring; or the director Jason Russell whose short film Kony 2012 began a campaign to raise the visibility about forced recruitment of child soldiers in Africa and motivated millions (including celebrities and political figures) to call for the arrest of Joseph Kony and push to enact new policies and change. These empowered activists have inspired uprisings that change the world.

Although slower to the party, the traditional power brokers in society–corporations and policymakers themselves–have learned how to harness the power of digital and social media to their own political benefit. It is now fairly routine for political figures around the world to directly engage with the public on social media platforms like Twitter and Facebook. During President Obama’s reelection campaign, his “Ask Me Anything” feature on Reddit quickly broke traffic and engagement records for the platform and connected him directly with his audience without any gatekeepers. Communicating via social media can also have a real impact on society. As an example, my company APCO Worldwide helped a government transform how it communicated with the public. We educated its agencies on effectively engaging and connecting with citizens through activities and initiatives hosted through these channels. We also routinely help our corporate clients pursue and enact policy change in all corners of the world using the strategic application of digital diplomacy.

Underlying all of this are some basic principles that are hallmarks of almost every successful digital diplomacy initiative:

  • Digital diplomacy is emotive: People in digital and social channels discuss and debate issues with their emotions at the surface. The best campaigns are like great marketing campaigns that stir emotions, tell compelling stories and use pictures, videos, animation and graphic content to make arguments instead of studies and papers.
  • Digital diplomacy is about pursuing a shared vision: The best digital diplomacy initiatives tap deep into an underlying tension or desire felt by a segment of society. It is not sufficient to just express your position well; your position must reinforce this more broadly felt societal goal.
  • Digital diplomacy is transparent: In digital and social channels there is nowhere to hide. Attempts to communicate in ways that are perceived as inauthentic or contrived are doomed to fail.
  • Digital diplomacy speaks directly to individuals: Although the web audience is enormous, digital and social media is actually comprised of millions of interconnected communities that form around shared ideas. The best campaigns carefully target those communities and recruit support by tailoring the appeal to the specific interests of their members. This process has been aided tremendously in recent years by the prevalence of “big data” and sophisticated tools to micro-target our messages.
  • Digital diplomacy must be remarkably agile: Things change fast online. Ideas morph, change agents emerge and new information appears on a moment’s notice. Digital diplomacy campaigns must be carefully managed to respond quickly to those changes so they stay relevant, responsive and impactful.

The pace at which communication tools, techniques, platforms and strategies are changing can be dizzyingly fast. But, if you can stay grounded in these core principles, and remember that digital communication is simply a reflection of basic human emotions and impulses, you can have a tremendous impact on the world around your business, your organization and yourself.

http://www.apcoforum.com/diplomacy-in-a-digitally-infused-world/

Foreign Service Life December 2009

How American public diplomacy was practiced in Germany over the course of three decades is the subject of this essay by a distinguished retired senior public diplomacy officer.

 

Brandenberg Gate, Berlin

In Communicating with the World: US. Public Diplomacy Overseas1 I included four case studies on the practice of public diplomacy—in the Soviet Union, Germany and Brazil.  In this essay I explain how public diplomacy was actually planned and carried out in three cities in Germany—in Frankfurt in the early fifties, in Berlin in the late sixties and in Bonn in the early eighties.

I came into the Foreign Service—and to public diplomacy—in an odd way. In 1949, the State Department was replacing the U.S. Military Government in Germany and was hiring people locally.  I took the oath in October 1949 in Frankfurt and was assigned initially to run the America House (U.S. Information Center) in Wiesbaden and then, after five months, in Frankfurt where I remained until 1955.

What was our mission? I was never told explicitly, but we understood that we were to function as an information and cultural center in our efforts to re-orient and re-educate the German public—and especially young people—into the Western democratic community of nations.2

The central element of the America House was its library with a collection of about 4500 American books (some in translation) and some 300 periodicals.  The staff, among which I was the only American, consisted of some forty-five librarians, programmers, artists, English teachers and administrative personnel.  In Frankfurt, where the entire cultural infrastructure had been devastated as a result of World War II, the America House served literally as a community center until the indigenous cultural and artistic entities was rebuilt. It was a busy and popular place.  We were open seven days a week from 10 am until 10 pm.

Moreover, the America House library was “open-shelf” where people could select and check out books of their choice.  We did not immediately realize the democratizing impact of our open-shelf library until a frequent visitor, the city librarian who was also the director of the University library, told us that in rebuilding both libraries, he would convert them to open-shelf institutions, the first in the Federal Republic. A German researcher later wrote that one could not underestimate the success of the America Houses in introducing Germans to a new open-shelf library system, which made libraries attractive institutions. The principal impact of the America Houses, she wrote, was in influencing and changing the view of America among the German people. Through the medium of the library it was possible, she concluded, to persuade many Germans to regard America positively and often admiringly.3

An Amerika Haus Library
Amerika Haus Lecture

Frankfurt – 1950
The America House Frankfurt, the largest (together with Berlin and Munich) of some thirty similar institutions throughout the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG), conducted extensive activities —English teaching, speaker programs, concerts, theater performances, film showings, youth and children’s programs and various outreach activities.  The U. S. Embassy in Bonn and the State Department in Washington provided substantial program support to the America Houses.  When, for instance, the Boston Symphony came on its first post-World War II tour in 1952, its appearance in Frankfurt was under America House sponsorship, as was American Ballet Theatre in 1953.

In effect, the America House was a physical symbol of public diplomacy, a term that at that time was still unknown.  Of possible relevance today, the prestige of the America House as an American cultural institution reflected on its director in the Frankfurt community.  Next to the American Consul General, the director of the America House was the best-known and most recognized American official in Frankfurt  (despite the huge U.S. military presence in the city).  Representing the America House enabled its director to communicate easily and directly with the political, cultural and media leadership in the community.

Over time, as the city regained its cultural and social infrastructure, the America House, still a highly respected institution, converted itself into a center of information and cultural expression about the United States.  Library collections were reduced and specialized, lectures and conferences focused on America, exhibits and concerts concerned themselves with American artistic expression (very similar to what the Alliance Francaise is today). The America House director retained the prestige and influence represented by the institution that he headed.

Berlin – 1967
Berlin in 1967 was a radically changed city from the one I had experienced in the 1950s.  The most visible and certainly the most tragic feature was the Wall that now divided Berlin into two cities, in two different and unfriendly countries.  Since its erection in 1961, the Wall had by 1967 become a political, economic, social and cultural reality that Berliners had learned to live with.  Beyond that, and equally critical for an American diplomat concerned with human relationships, the close friendship between Berliners and their American partners had severely deteriorated.  Whereas most Berliners continued to feel safe and grateful in the presence of the Americans as their only protectors against the Soviet threat, an active and vocal minority of mostly young people had turned against the United States and what it stood for in the world.

Many in the previous generation of Germans had, rightly or wrongly, considered the United States their Camelot; now, a significant number in the so-called “successor generation” opposed America for a variety of reasons.  Certainly, U.S. involvement in Vietnam, the upheavals of the civil rights revolution in America, the assassinations of John F. Kennedy, Bobby Kennedy and Martin Luther King contributed to a conviction that America was no longer a model society but the enemy of society.

Beyond that, our analysis concluded that German youth were suffering from a growing anxiety about the world in which they lived.  Among the components of this angst were:

  • Fear of war, especially nuclear destruction;
  • Environmental concerns;
  • Alienation in a highly industrialized society consisting of large impersonal organizations, including government;
  • The problems of unemployment in a harsh world with a shrinking social net;
  • Bad conscience over being part of an affluent society while millions in the Third World starved; and
  • An absence of national identity, a consequence of living in a divided country that had been defeated and destroyed in a terrible war.

This radicalization of young Germans often turned violent in Berlin, with frequent destructive demonstrations against the America House, Berlin’s most visible manifestation of the United States.  Lectures and discussions on American policies and social issues at other institutions were often broken up violently.  We had to find other ways to maintain our presence in support of the Berlin population and to represent our views on important international, political, economic and social issues.  While we found that radio and television were equally radicalized in Berlin, the print media were generally open to accept American views and policies and to support the United States.  And, of course, we had our own effective and respected outlets in the American radio station RIAS (literally Radio In the American Sector), and the U.S.-published newspaper Die Neue Zeitung.

We also managed to maintain our presence by offering major American art exhibitions in cooperation with Berlin museums and galleries, supported as we were by the U. S. Information Agency (USIA) in Washington and American museums, like the Museum of Modern Art.

It was a difficult period, but it demonstrated that a synergy between cultural and information activities could be very effective in the service of public diplomacy.

Bonn – 1982
In our institutional analysis and long discussions with our German counterparts, the U. S. Information Service (USIS) in Bonn determined that a serious gap of information, knowledge and understanding had developed between the people of the two countries, especially among the younger generation, and that this gap, if left unchecked, might endanger the close, mutual beneficial relationship that had become an enduring foundation of the North Atlantic partnership after World War II. 

Much had been written and discussed about the generation gap and the “successor generation problem” in both countries, and a number of projects had been launched by USIS Bonn and supported by USIA Washington to bridge this gap.  Among these successful projects was the publication of the “American Studies Newsletter”, directed at secondary school teachers throughout the FRG responsible for teaching about America in the context of their courses.

We also organized regional conferences for teachers of American studies and cooperated with the German Association of American Studies in their training programs by providing American experts on the training of teachers.  We also cooperated with the German government in sponsoring a joint textbook revision project, intended to bring high school textbooks in both countries up to date and to correct errors, outdated provocations, or misleading statements.  History and political science textbooks were examined, re-edited and re-published.

The Fulbright Commission concentrated on providing academic exchanges for students, teachers and university faculty in American and German studies.  The German government, believing in the importance of the Fulbright program, supported it financially to a substantially greater extent than the U.S. Government at that time, and we worked hard to persuade Washington to restore parity to this vital program.

USIS Bonn had one other public diplomacy asset in the presence of Ambassador Arthur Burns.  The distinguished economist and central banker was particularly interested in communicating with young people.  I discovered that by working with him in suggesting and writing his public speeches, they would be published not only in every major German newspaper, but also in the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal and, on one occasion, in the Reader’s Digest.  Even though preparing these speeches took a considerable amount of my time, I found that it was time and effort well spent, far outdistancing my written or spoken capability to engage audiences.4   

Ambassador Arthur Burns

Finally, our German counterparts and we proposed to launch a massive youth exchange program as a principal legacy of the 300th anniversary commemoration of German immigration to America.  Initially, USIA balked at the expense— about 2 million dollars per year—that the program would cost since it would skew the worldwide budget for exchanges.  We were able, however, to gain Congressional support from, among others, Senators Lugar, Heinz, Percy and Dixon and representatives Hamilton, Foley and Winn for the program, and they, in turn, worked together with their German Bundestag counterparts so that the program was funded directly by the two legislatures.  The program allowed for approximately 250 youngsters from each country to spend an academic year living with families, going to high school and being integrated in the corresponding community.  The U.S. Congress-German Bundestag Youth Exchange program is now in its 25th year and has exchanged more than 6,000 young people from each country.

While it is probably impossible to measure the impact of this program in the two countries, it is reasonable to assume that both societies have benefited from the knowledge and understanding that the students and their host families have gained from each other.

What Did I Learn?
In the course of thirty years working in the field and in these three tours in Germany, I learned four essentials:

Public diplomacy is primarily a field enterprise where audiences are selected, programs are proposed and carried out by the public diplomacy post abroad, after approval and with the support of Washington headquarters.

The public diplomacy field post conducts an institutional analysis (to determine primary and secondary audiences), proposes a country plan in coordination with the embassy and submits it to Washington for approval and support.

For public diplomacy to be effective, there must be synergy between long-range cultural and exchange activities and short-range information programs.

While the public diplomacy section is fully integrated in the embassy country team under the American ambassador, there must be a close, direct and functioning relationship between the embassy’s public diplomacy section and the Washington office that supervises and supports it with regard to programming, budget and personnel.

End Notes
1 Hans N. Tuch, Communicating with the World: U.S. Public Diplomacy Overseas, New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1990.

2 Many years later I came across a more formal statement of mission for public diplomacy in Germany by the then-acting Secretary of State: “There is fundamental agreement within the Department…that the United States cannot afford to spend billions on economic reconstruction without a valiant effort in the field of educational and cultural relations.  It has been the basic principle underlying the Government’s policy for Germany that the reeducation of the German people is an integral part of policies intended to help develop a democratic form of government and to restore a stable and peaceful economy…. The Department has recognized…that the task of educating the German people away from authoritarianism and aggression and toward democracy and peace remains the hardest and longest of all our responsibilities in Germany and, in the long run, the most decisive.”

3 Angela Moeller, “Die Gruendung der Amerika Haeuser 1945-1949,” MA dissertation (unpublished) Ludwig-Maximilian -Universitaet Muenchen, 1984

4 Several of Arthur Burns’ speeches in Germany are contained in Hans N. Tuch, Arthur Burns and the Successor Generation: Selected Writings of and about Arthur Burns, Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 1988

Digital Politicking Comes to Europe

Dec 26, 2013 Written by  Matt Bostrom, Guest Contributor

Many of us have heard that the United States is “ahead of Europe” when it comes to digital campaigning in the political sphere. Certainly there are examples from the United States that come quickly to mind, such as Barack Obama’s 2012 and 2008 Presidential campaigns and the populist support he gained. There are others which may be lesser known, such as Ron Paul’s powerful fundraising ‘moneybomb’ in 2007, the viral impact of a hidden video of Mitt Romney seemingly writing off 47 percent of the U.S. electorate, and even further back Howard Dean’s courtship of the blogging community in the 2004 elections. Undoubtedly, grand sums of money are spent on pumping the U.S. digital politics machine, but with staggering results. The first presidential debate set a record on Twitter, with more than 10 million tweets during the 90-minute debate. But it was not just volume. Research from ORI and the George Washington University Graduate School of Political Management on the 2012 U.S. election showed that 29 percent of Americans said social media was moderately to extremely influential in their opinions of the candidates and issues, nearly two-thirds (63 percent) said the quality of information about the candidates and issues on social media was the same or better than that from traditional media, 40 percent participated in a political discussion with others in their social networks, and 28 percent displayed their political affiliation on their networks.

The big question surrounding this success in the United States seems to be–will the EU experience a similar outbreak in digital campaigning, and when will it happen? The factors that go into this are numerous, and of course, in the EU different countries will feel the impact in different ways.

At the EU level, elections experts have predicted that the “protest” vote will be strong, and nobody likes a protest like social media does. In years of online campaigning, I have always found it easier to get people to stand against something than for it. Not a pretty fact, nor a universal one, but a generally true statement. This could indicate a first role for the use of digital in this campaign–to galvanise the protest vote, or to galvanise some passion in any respect.

Additionally, turnout will be a massive issue, as expectations are low, which means a few votes here or there could drastically affect the outcome, even more so in countries that use an open party list. No place is better to quickly and efficiently rally the base than online. It will be up to the parties to find a way to harness the power of social into votes. Certainly the former point here about driving emotion will affect the latter of getting voters to show up. There will have to be some galvanising issues, driven through effective storytelling and connection online, to effectively bring people to vote.

The point about storytelling and connection is critical. At a recent event in London about the prospects of a digital election for the EU, consultant and blogger Andy Williamson said that “social media is better for individual politicians rather than party brands.” I do not necessarily agree with this point. Certainly it has been and it is easier for an individual to harness the power of social into votes. It need not be that way though. The reason politicians are better able to use social media than parties is because inherently politicians have a coherent story to tell. They have a life story, they have clear things they care about, they have a clear “brand.” That resonates with people online. Storytelling is the medium most of us connect with online. Memes, which played a key role during the 2012 U.S. campaign, are just very short, inventive, simplified stories. The reason Clint Eastwood talking to an empty chair turned into an online phenomenon in the United States is because of the ways the story was told. #Eastwooding became an instant trending topic, culminating in the President posting a picture of his chair in the West Wing with the caption “this seat’s taken.” Witty, compelling, and simple.

Equally important is relevancy and coherency. Obama understood early on that creating a personal brand was critical to his success. During the 2008 campaign, Americans would instantly cite “hope” and “change” if Obama’s name was brought up. These stories need grounding in simplicity, and they need to be clear in order to be effective.

Parties are inherently bad at telling stories. They have too many of them, and they do not agree on which ones are the most important. There is a reason novels are more often written by a single author than a group. The platform of a party needs to include a multitude of views, and the storytelling and brand are lost. They do not need to be. Of course there are examples across Europe of parties and politicians with a coherent platform and narrative, but on the whole, parties are still not inherently good at connecting through first-person storytelling.

In the European Parliamentary elections, votes are cast for national parties, but these parties then sit in supranational parliamentary groups/coalitions within the European Parliament. This makes the lack of a cohesive narrative on social media even more profound, particularly when compared to the U.S. presidential system, the structure of which helps facilitate digital campaigns.

In an age where politicians are crawling over each other to “get it” online, set up on key platforms, and find any way they can to gain an edge in social media, they often lose sight of what matters. A headcount of social platforms is not going to win an election. Connecting with people will. A party that can do this will undoubtedly have success in moving the vote in their favour.

It will take a sea change. Parties are not set up this way. Just like companies are re-imagining their role with an empowered consumer, parties are going to have to adapt if they want to ride the wave. They will need to simplify, unify, and learn how to tell stories we want to listen to.

The answer to the question of a digital EU election ultimately lies with the parties. Obama had terabytes of data and a smart team, but more than that, he had a clear story to tell. When parties in the EU are able to become cohesive storytellers, only then will they be able to realise the power of social media.

In a series of articles, Diplomatic Courier and APCO Worldwide are partnering to cover the 2014 European Union elections. Find more information about this series here. Follow @EPElections for daily news and updates from APCO’s team in Brussels.

Matt Bostrom is senior director of APCO Online based in London.

Photo: Ed Yourdon (cc).

http://www.diplomaticourier.com/news/regions/eurozone/1968-digital-politicking-comes-to-europe

The Dilemma of Desperation Migration

Humanitarian aid adds incentives for migrants to take risks in fleeing homelands

By | November 20, 2013

Last Updated: November 20, 2013 6:41 pm

Italian elementary students attend the commemoration ceremony for the victims of the boat sinking disaster off the Lampedusa coast on Oct. 21, in San Leone near Agrigento, Italy. The disaster killed more than 300 asylum seekers. (Tullio M. Puglia/Getty Images)

A challenge with tighter borders and deportation is differentiating the asylum seekers from economic migrants.

The drowning of hundreds of men, women, and children off the coasts of Italy and Malta has brought world attention back to the dilemma faced by the developed world from desperation migration.

While humanitarian aid and favorable receptions to illegal immigrants willing to risk their lives to reach their intended destination are admirable and consistent with international conventions, these also add to the “pull factor”—adding incentives for human smugglers and encouraging more men, women, and children to undertake perilous journeys.

Although deaths attributable to desperation migration are incomplete, available data for certain regions provides a crude approximation of the minimum levels. In the past two decades, for example, nearly 20,000 people are reported as having lost their lives in an effort to reach the European Union’s southern borders from Africa and the Middle East. In 2011 at the height of the Arab Spring more than 1,500 died in efforts to reach the southern shores of the EU with close to 300,000 registered asylum claims.

Also, attempts to cross the United States–Mexico border resulted in close to 2,000 people dying during the period 1998–2004, with 477 deaths recorded and more than 83,000 registered asylum claims in the past year. In addition, the number of deaths or persons missing at sea trying to reach Australia since 2000 is recorded at 1,731, with 242 for the year 2012 and nearly 16,000 registered asylum claims.

Responding to Dire Situations

When people face dire times, many try migrating to more prosperous, favorable, or sparsely populated lands. Over the past two centuries, tens of millions of men, women, and children migrated from Europe to North America, South America, and Oceania.

During the Irish Potato Famine, for example, more than a million emigrated from Ireland. Poverty, natural disasters, overpopulation, and political unrest contributed to 2 million Italians migrating to the United States in the first decade of the 20th century. Travel then was difficult and costly, and processing was a formality.

Opportunities for large-scale migration have come to a close. Established borders, national laws and international agreements, nationalism, security concerns, technology as well as striking economic, social, and demographic imbalances all contribute to limiting immigration levels to the needs and wellbeing of the receiving countries.

Few governments wish to increase current levels of immigration. Close to 75 percent of national governments have policies to maintain current immigration levels. Another 16 percent of governments have policies to lower immigration. Only 10 percent plan to increase immigration levels, and those policies are aimed primarily at attracting highly skilled technical workers.

Given limited opportunities for legal migration and increased border surveillance, growing numbers turn to professional smugglers. The risks of these hazardous journeys are both minimized and understood by would-be migrants, who compare them to bleak, often precarious living conditions at home.

Many immigrants flee civil conflict, political violence, and persecution. Others risk their lives to escape poverty and provide remittances to those left behind. Many who migrate for economic reasons and survive clandestine passage claim asylum upon arrival to avoid being sent back home, complicating matters for genuine refugees.

According to the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees, more people are refugees or internally displaced than at any time since 1994, with the crisis in Syria resulting in more than 2 million people fleeing the country.

Approximately 32,000 people have arrived unlawfully in southern Italy and Malta this year alone and around two-thirds have filed requests for asylum. In addition, the reported number of migrants leaving Libya for Europe has seen a sixfold increase over the last year.

While the majority of the illegal migrants come from sub-Saharan Africa, during the current year greater numbers have arrived from Egypt and Syria. Continued degradation of living standards in Iran hit by Western sanctions has propelled large numbers to migrate to Australia by boat from Indonesia.

Open Borders or Closed

Curtailing desperation migration is challenging the policies of receiving and transit governments as well as public sentiments, especially in the destination countries.

Some academics and theorists suggest the only solution to desperation migration is for countries to institute open borders. Similar to the free flow of capital across national borders, advocates of open borders argue that people should have the right to freely cross international borders to travel, work, visit, open businesses, settle, and interact with others.

In striking contrast, many governments, political parties, and nativist groups argue for more effective controls on entry and strict enforcement of immigration laws, especially penalties for those who hire illegal immigrants. Opponents of open immigration support prosecution of human smugglers and detention and expedited removal of illegal immigrants—regarded as predominately economic migrants—to their points of departure or country of origin.

In particular, the opponents consider fences, walls, and barriers coupled with increased border surveillance, including the use of satellite imagery and drones to monitor borders, as effective preventive measures to discourage people from undertaking hazardous journeys and thus save lives. Such policies have become increasingly evident in Australia, Canada, Greece, India, Israel, Italy, Malta, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Spain, and the United States.

The emphasis on policies of “prevention through deterrence” has increased pressures on authorities in transit countries like Libya and Morocco and strained limited resources to curb illegal migration flows.

Safer Passage

Few disagree that more must be done to reduce migrant deaths. Under such an approach, countries would be obliged to protect, respect, and fulfill human rights of legal as well as illegal migrants. In particular, border guards, coastguards, air patrols, and commercial ships should have the capability and commitment to provide humanitarian assistance and save lives, whether off the shores of Italy or northern Australia.

A fundamental difficulty with tighter borders and the deportation approach is differentiating asylum seekers, genuinely in need of international protection, from economic migrants who seek employment, higher wages, and a better life. With receiving countries becoming more selective, the large numbers of potential migrants in developing countries, in particular the growing pool of the unskilled and poorly educated, are finding few if any legal means to secure employment and settle abroad.

Even doubling the current levels of legal immigration would unlikely reduce the illegal flows. Whereas current migration flows are several million per year, the would-be number of migrants seeking to escape unemployment, poverty, economic collapse, political turmoil, war, and persecution can be expected to be many times greater.

In addition to migration push factors, strong pull factors in the destination countries include a demand for cheap and compliant illegal labor, especially for jobs that cannot be outsourced in agriculture, food processing, landscaping, restaurant work, construction, child care, and domestic services.

Although desperation migration has again attracted world attention, the international community of nations is not actively seeking to identify concrete solutions. The recent two-day United Nations High Level Dialogue on International Migration and Development, for example, simply noted the recent drowning of hundreds of migrants off the coast of Italy. The sole outcome of the dialogue was a summary of the deliberations, devoid of binding agreements on international migration or recommendations addressing desperation migration.

Tragically, given the current worrisome state of economic, social and political affairs in many developing countries, and the reluctance of most migrant-receiving nations to engage in a meaningful international dialogue on desperation migration, many more migrant deaths can be expected in the near future.

Joseph Chamie is a former director of the United Nations Population Division. Copyright 2013 The Whitney and Betty MacMillan Center for International and Area Studies at Yale.

http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/365932-the-dilemma-of-desperation-migration/

Tweet, Then Delete: Obama and Rouhani’s Diplomacy Takes to Twitter

Oct 01, 2013 Written by  Marc Sabbagh, Guest Contributor

A phone call between President Obama and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani? Talk about 20th century!

More fascinating is what happened once the phone call, which focused on cooperating to solve Iran’s nuclear issue and other regional matters, ended. As soon as President Rouhani hung up his phone after speaking to President Obama, a tweet was sent out from Rouhani’s semi-official Twitter account (managed by staff members although the President is said to tweet from it himself occasionally) saying he had spoken to the American president. The tweet, later deleted for unknown reasons, read: “Phone conversation between @HassanRouhani and @BarackObama.”

Minutes later, President Obama also announced he had spoken to Rouhani, before starting a press conference at the White House on the looming government shutdown. Meanwhile, Rouhani continued to tweet several insights into the conversation, which National Security Advisor Susan Rice later said was initiated by Rouhani’s team before the delegation left New York for Tehran.

According to the tweets, which were also later deleted, Obama ended the conversation by saying “Khodahafez,” a Farsi expression that literally means “God be with you” and is used to say goodbye. Rouhani said, “Have a nice day.”

One tweet said President Obama apologized for the “[horrendous] New York traffic,” brackets included. It is unclear if Obama actually said “horrendous” during the phone call, if it was a rough translation, or if Rouhani’s team had some fun while sharing the incredible conversation to the world.

Hours later, the State Department followed President Rouhani and Iran’s Foreign Minister Javad Zarif on Twitter, the White House retweeted one of Rouhani’s tweets that showed the Iranian president getting on his plane, and Rouhani’s account retweeted a tweet directly sent out by Secretary John Kerry (signed –JK) in which he hailed “#progress” and “good first steps w/ #Iran.” What is going on in the Twitter-sphere, and does it actually matter when it comes to making a nuclear deal?

A White House official said on Friday, “We did watch President Rouhani’s Twitter feed, and frankly we’ve watched him use social media to communicate over the last several weeks…We’ll continue to watch his Twitter feed.”

Twitter’s CEO Dick Costolo tweeted out on Friday: “I feel like I’m witnessing a tectonic shift in the geo-political landscape reading @HassanRouhani tweets. Fascinating.”

Clearly, there is some importance to what’s taking place on Twitter. Rouhani’s team found reason in deleting the tweets on the conversation details, but it is unclear why—maybe in fear of the United States’ reaction, or Ayatollah Khamenei’s and Iranian citizens. Screenshots of the tweets, however, are still circulating and making their way onto television screens across the world. Rouhani’s overtures on Twitter appear to be meant mainly for a Western audience.

At the same time, just as phone calls could mean nothing on the diplomatic front and the Obama-Rouhani exchange might be played down in a few months by both sides if nothing materializes in nuclear negotiations, the recent Twitter diplomacy developments may prove to be inconsequential.

Friday’s 140 character exchanges from all sides raise new questions on how world leaders conduct diplomacy, and show that this new front can turn out to be a positive driver for foreign policy—or an inhibitor.

Would the State Department unfollow President Rouhani and Foreign Minister Zarif if relations go stale in the next few months? Did Rouhani beat Obama to the punch by announcing the phone call and sharing details before the Obama administration could shape a narrative that might have been more cautious? What does it mean when many Iranians cannot see what is being shared on Twitter by their own president?

What is the significance of Rouhani’s Twitter page not being “verified”—meaning it is not necessarily endorsed by the president himself? Will the recent Twitter exchanges pressure Rouhani to lift social media restrictions in Iran, especially after a “glitch” on September 16th that opened up Facebook and Twitter briefly? Will a “follow” on Twitter one day indicate a positive diplomatic development like a phone call did today?

This new terrain of social media has added an unpredictability to foreign policy and international diplomacy, and past indicators show it is difficult to “Ctrl+Alt+Del” foreign policy in the internet age. The recent events between the U.S. and Iran on Twitter will prove no different.

This week, President Obama failed to get a handshake with Rouhani at the United Nations General Assembly, but then managed to get a brief phone call with the Iranian leader. Maybe one day we will be asking what it will take to get a Twitter “follow back.”

Marc Sabbagh is a virtual program coordinator for the US embassies in Armenia and Azerbaijan and a graduate student at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, DC specializing in Middle East Studies.

http://www.diplomaticourier.com/news/topics/diplomacy/1819-tweet-then-delete-obama-and-rouhani-s-diplomacy-takes-to-twitter

Diplomacy in the cloud Matthew Barzun

Last week I took part in a lively debate at Wilton Park, a forum for exchange and dialogue on global issues established at the end of World War II. It was part of a three-day conference on “soft power,” the term coined by American political scientist Joseph Nye in 1990 to describe the ability to influence other nations through persuasion rather than coercion. I was asked to address the increasingly discussed and increasingly important subject of diplomacy in a networked world.

Diplomacy, I believe, is currently enjoying a resurgence. Those who watched President Obama’s State of the Union address, for example, heard him say that America must move off of a “permanent war footing.” Indeed, the center of our recent efforts to achieve progress in Iran, Syria and the Middle East has been the negotiating table rather than the command post. And as we move from missiles to missives, our ability to harness technology in the service of diplomacy is more important than ever.

In the networked world, where power is increasingly dispersed, we have seen the amazing effect that digital media can have in facilitating the coordination of people-powered movements. But are we certain those tools have the same power in the service of diplomacy? What tools do work best? And what metrics matter? What value is there when someone “likes” an embassy Facebook page, watches a YouTube video, or follows an ambassador on Twitter? In a sense we know the power of the cloud. But think what images of clouds often connote: foggy, fluffy, and far-away — three things we need less of. We need our approach to be clear, concrete, and close-up.

So at Wilton Park I suggested a different model for considering diplomacy in networked world — a thought experiment of sorts. The hot trend now is wearable tech, like Google Glass and Jawbone bracelets. What if we designed a gadget that could measure our activities as diplomats? I challenged my fellow attendees to contribute ideas about what it would track: Every “please” and “thank you”? Every smile? Time spent listening versus talking? Deductions for excessive acronyms and overuse of diplo-speak clichés (e.g. “watching with concern” when actually we are horrified by what we see)?

With algorithms becoming powerful enough to predict weather weeks in advance, might we now be able to quantify relations among countries? Could we try to improve relations with Russia by 20% in the same way that we try to try to achieve specific Millennium Development Goals?

The point I was trying to make is that, based on my experience in the tech industry, as well as with using technology for advocacy, I’ve found that the choice of what technological medium to use is often more successful when a clear target has already been set for what we want it to help us achieve. That’s why, in my thought experiment, the wearable soft power bracelet is designed to measure a diplomatic medium we already know to be the most effective we’ve got: our diplomats.

https://matthewbarzun.tumblr.com/post/76233037602/diplomacy-in-the-cloud

 

China: The Internet and The Birth of Cyber Diplomacy

Sep 24, 2013 Written by  Richard Rousseau, Contributor

In the 2000s, “public diplomacy” became a central part of the function of diplomacy. As a result of the communications and transportation revolutions, diplomats, national leaders, and more can now be seen and heard by more people in more places than at any previous time in history. Skillful public diplomacy can influence public opinion beyond one’s own country to support policies and positions, and can influence foreign peoples to have a favorable view of one’s country. Conversely, blundering public diplomacy can undermine even well-conceived policies and positions, and can project an extremely negative image of a country.

Public diplomacy is important at other levels as well. Diplomats often seek and accept speaking engagements and media interviews, and work with other outlets in which they can obtain the opportunity to influence others to view their country and its policies favorably. At times, such public diplomacy may be considered by host countries as meddling in their internal affairs. At other times, such it may be virtually identical to a diplomat’s representation function. However, recently a new type of diplomacy, more malign, came into being.

On January 7, 2010, Google announced that it had been victim of a major hacker attack that began in mid-2009 and continued through December 2009. The attack, known as “Operation Aurora” and described by the largest search engine in the world as “sophisticated” and “high-level,” was aimed at more than 30 other organizations, including Adobe Systems, Rackspace, Yahoo, Symantec, Juniper Networks, Morgan Stanley, Northrop Grumman, and Dow Chemical.

In 2011, Google also said that the hackers, who were based in China’s Jinan province, had compromised personal email accounts of hundreds of top U.S. officials, military personnel, and journalists. Nobody has yet produced conclusive proof that such attacks were state-sponsored, but Google’s Press Office stressed that the primary goal of the hackers was to penetrate Google’s computers and access the Gmail accounts of Chinese human rights activists. Google also said that, apparently, the attack failed, as users’ data was not compromised.

More specifically, it appeared that the cyberattack was also conducted by advanced persistent threats carried out by the Elderwood Group—an organization based in Beijing, China, with ties to China’s Politburo, at least according to a U.S. State Department cables that WikiLeaks released in November 2010. Security experts have linked the attacks to servers at a university used by the Chinese military. Also, according to many computer specialists, the December 2009 attack, in terms of the style and instruments used, was very similar to the one perpetrated in July of the same year. The difference was that the second cyberattack targeted specific individuals. These attacks took advantage of some of the Google software’s vulnerabilities, which were still “unknown.”

Within hours of Google’s acknowledgment of the Aurora attacks, the U.S. State Department issued a statement asking the Chinese government for an explanation. Official Chinese media responded stating that the incident is part of a U.S. government conspiracy. For its part, Google decided to pull out of China and defied Chinese censorship regulations. It also moved further Chinese operations to Hong Kong, as it would have otherwise remained a constant target for Chinese cyberattacks.

These incidents led to diplomatic confrontations and raised profound questions about the future of online freedom and cybersecurity. Google, through former U.S Secretary of State Hilary Clinton, requested an official explanation from the Chinese government.

In a speech on Internet freedom, delivered on January 21, 2010 at the Newseum in Washington, DC and coming on the heels of the cyberattack, Clinton stressed the importance of freedom of information. In her own words, “as in the dictatorships of the past, governments are targeting independent thinkers who use these [internet, social networks] tools… As I speak to you today, government censors somewhere are working furiously to erase my words from the records of history. But history itself has already condemned these tactics.” Clinton’s remarks made it clear to online operators that the U.S. Government stands prepared to support them when they are willing to challenge the censorial policies of repressive foreign regimes.

China was cited numerous times in Clinton’s speech, especially with regards to its government’s policy on information. She concluded by saying that “historically, asymmetrical access is one of the leading causes of interstate conflict” and that “both the American people and nations that censor the internet should understand that our government is committed to helping promote internet freedom.”

Cyber security also dominated the first summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Obama in June 7-8, 2013, Palm Springs, California. Obama confronted the Chinese president on the cyberattacks carried out from within Chinese borders throughout 2012 against nearly 40 Pentagon weapons programs. The Washington Post reported in May 2013 that compromised programs included missile defense systems, aircraft, and ships. Although the extent of official Chinese involvement cannot be clearly determined, U.S. officials have called upon the Chinese leadership to take a more active role in countering violations of cyberspace.

If the use of new technologies by governments is nothing new, especially in matters of espionage and control of public opinion, the scars wrought by the hacker attack can be considered the starting point of a new type of diplomacy—Cyber Diplomacy. Such technologies will continue to impact the geopolitical balance of power.

One novelty in terms of the Google and Pentagon weapons programs attacks is the high level of sophistication of these cyberattacks, which affected global leading companies in computer and information industries as well as the private lives of many powerful individuals around the world. Another feature is the immediate reaction coming from those placed in high level positions in the U.S. government, including the direct intervention of the Secretary of State. In her speech, she officially sanctioned the birth of Cyber Diplomacy, and highlighted computer security and freedom of the web as now crucial diplomatic issues. The economic, financial, industrial, and military sectors’ development and prosperity are increasingly linked to the free flow of information. Moreover, electronic networks are now irreplaceable instruments for international politics.

In addition to the traditional contentious issues between the United States and China—freedom of information, human rights, commercial rivalries, and the most recent agreement between Washington and Taiwan for continued military procurements—the Google episode is the prelude to further diplomatic confrontations. It places the two superpowers increasingly on an antithetical plane, even after the thaw initiated in 2008 with the election of Barack Obama.

Richard Rousseau is Associate Professor and Chair of the Department of Humanities and Social Sciences at the American University of Ras Al Khaimah, United Arab Emirates. His research, teaching and consulting interests include Russian politics, Eurasian geopolitics, international political economy, and globalization. He lived Three years in Baku, Azerbaijan.

http://www.diplomaticourier.com/news/regions/brics/1808-china-the-internet-and-the-birth-of-cyber-diplomacy

PDcast #12: The Role of the Ambassador in Public Diplomacy

The ambassador has many roles to play, but should the main public diplomacy role be of advocacy or practicalities.

The PDcast is a weekly podcast featuring Jennifer Osias (sitting in for Julia Watson), Adam Cyr and Michael Ardaiolo discussing the trending public diplomacy topics. Subscribe now in iTunes.

The conversation continues using @Public_Diplomat and #PDcast. Send us your questions, comments and suggestions throughout the week, and we will use them for the next show.

 

Topic 1: Ambassador Caroline Kennedy’s frank tweets in Japan

To Read:

Star Envoy’s Frankness Puts Kennedy Mystique to Test in Japan | New York Times, Martin Fackler

Keep Tweeting, Ambassador Kennedy | Huffington Post, Nancy Snow

 

Topic 2: Ambassador Gary Locke’s “by-the-numbers” tour in China

To Read:

Gary Locke by-the-numbers tour as ambassador to China is nearing an end | Washington Post, William Wan

 

Recommendations:

Adam: President Obama’s State of the Union address

Jennifer: @suPD

Michael: Martin Scorsese’s World Cinema Project

 

photo credit: Reuters/Clodagh Kilcoyne

[Today in PD] Dennis Rodman And Sports Diplomacy Gone Awry

HE can still dunk like a butterfly, but in the personally tragic case of former basketball pro Dennis Rodman in North Korea, the embrace of Kim Jong Un and his policies sting like a bee. Rodman is the most recent example of sports diplomacy gone awry. With the Sochi Olympics starting, a new cadre of unpredictable athlete diplomats will likely take the stage.

It is a time-honored tradition to use athletes as diplomats. They are some of the most recognizable global personages whose participation can lead to substantial bilateral benefits. In the 1970s, for example, U.S. President Nixon successfully promoted a team of American pingpong players to open up a dialogue with Mao Zedong’s China.

When sports diplomacy goes wrong, however, it can go very wrong.

Nixon was a former college football player who loved sports and competition. During his presidency, he used American chess player Bobby Fischer for his propaganda value and as a symbol of Cold War superiority.

In 1972, Fischer won chess’s internationally televised “Match of the Century” against Boris Spassky. He also won the acclaim of a nation looking to school the Soviets in a field where they were dominant before Fischer’s victory. From that high point, however, things began to go downhill for Fischer and his propaganda value. Years later, and hours after the 2001 attack on the twin towers, Fischer, in an interview, reprehensibly justified the World Trade Center attackers with strong anti-American remarks. Regarding the attack he said, “I applaud the act.”

Fisher’s demise took time, but some athletes self-destruct in real time. Muhammad Ali is the world-renowned boxer who won a gold medal as Cassius Clay in the 1960 Rome Olympics. President Carter asked Ali to go on a five-nation Africa tour to get those countries to boycott the 1980 Moscow Olympics as a protest of the Soviet military’s 1979 Afghanistan invasion.

Ali flew on an official state aircraft, but began to make diplomatic mistakes from the minute he landed. He was unable to address complex political issues and even argued against the boycott he was there to promote as Carter’s proxy.

While the parallels between Ali and Rodman are many, hoops-playing President Obama can verily say that he did not send Rodman as his envoy to Pyongyang. He has, however, chosen University of California President and former Homeland Security chief Janet Napolitano to lead the Sochi delegation. Who better to deal with both the politics and the security threats?

Rodman recently checked himself into alcohol rehab, and despite his generally ridiculed mission to North Korea and his ill-considered comments there, his trip might yield unexpected results.

A composed Charles Smith told CNN that he and the other players went to North Korea to work as “cross-cultural ambassadors and use the game of basketball as a bridge for exchange.” Smith also spoke clearly about the potential benefits for the two diplomatically estranged nations.

For North Korea, those benefits include American cultural exposure and an introduction to racial diversity. A downside for this unofficial delegation was its exploitation to bolster Kim Jong Un’s totalitarian and nuclear-armed regime.

The upside for the United States? More Americans to bring back insight about this isolated state and its leader. Informal interactions with North Koreans might also open up new channels for dialogue. What was lost in the controversy of the basketball exhibition was that the delegation was made up of more (and more interesting) people than just spotlight-grabbing Dennis Rodman.

The Olympics will provide more opportunities for athletes to share in peaceful exchange. The infectious Olympic spirit invariably uplifts participants and spectators. But there are as many pitfalls in sports diplomacy as there are potential merits. For every successful pingpong diplomat there is a Rodman waiting in the wings.

Markos Kounalakis is a research fellow at Central European University and a visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution. Email: markos@stanford.edu.

From a Diplomat’s F-Word to Sochi’s Hotel Horrors, It’s Been Twitter’s Big Week

By Carol Matlack

Photograph by Martin Bureau/AFP via Getty Images

U.S. State Department Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Victoria Nuland leaves after holding a press conference at the U.S. Embassy in Kiev on Feb. 7

This was the week Twitter (TWTR) established itself as a force in international relations.

The U.S. is scrambling to contain fallout in the European Union from a tweeted audio clip in which Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland said, “f––– the EU.” The comment was from a private phone call between Nuland and the U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, regarding the EU’s role in resolving that country’s political crisis.

The call was apparently intercepted by Russian intelligence services in January, and a clip was posted on YouTube (GOOG) on Feb. 5 by someone calling himself Lev Nikolayevich Myshkin, the name of a fictional Dostoevsky character. But the clip didn’t get much attention until an aide to Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin tweeted it on Feb. 6.

Russia, meanwhile, suffered its own embarrassment as the opening of the Sochi Winter Olympics risked being overshadowed by a popular Twitter feed featuring accounts of Sochi hotels with yellow tap water, missing doorknobs, and bizarre toilet configurations. At the start of tonight’s opening ceremonies, the feed had attracted 235,000 followers, while the official Sochi2014 feed had only 144,000.

My boss, Josh Tyrangiel, reminds us that reports about Greece’s unpreparedness for the 2004 Athens Olympics faded quickly once the games began. He’s right—but back in 2004 there was no Twitter to keep the conversation going once journalists got busy covering the games.

Nonjournalists in Sochi are now tweeting their own hotel horror stories, along with reports this evening of a technical malfunction that caused only four of the five Olympic rings to display at the opening ceremony.

Until now, political leaders seemed to view Twitter as a benign communications tool that had the added advantage of conveying that they’re cool with social media. A study last year by Burson Marsteller found that two-thirds of world leaders had set up Twitter feeds. Twitter has become “a formal broadcasting tool for world leaders,” the study found.

President Barack Obama’s Twitter feed has the most followers of any leader’s, 41.3 million at latest count. Pope Francis is No. 2, with more than 11 million followers.

Lower-ranking officials use Twitter, too. Michael McFaul, the U.S. ambassador to Russia (60,000 followers), used Twitter to announce his resignation on Feb. 4. There’s even a Twitter account where Washington’s diplomatic community can share “ideas and best practices” for digital diplomacy.

But the events of the past few days show that Twitter can be a diplomatic weapon as well as a tool—and that once wielded, its consequences can be hard to control. The U.S. can probably soothe hurt feelings in Europe over Nuland’s comments. But in other parts of the leaked phone call, she talks about which Ukrainian opposition leaders she wants to join a new government in Kiev. That could cause political problems for those leaders by giving the impression that they might be U.S. puppets.

Matlack is a Paris correspondent for Bloomberg Businessweek.
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-02-07/from-a-diplomats-f-word-to-sochis-hotel-horrors-its-been-twitters-big-week

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